The All New Hat > The Bookie Thread

[Don Fonte]

58 minutes ago, The Buzzard said:

Strongly favour Lincoln to win but the issue is will they pump Burton or will they put up a fight for a Lincoln 2-1victory or similar?

Let's go with it.

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[1903Fitba]

16 hours ago, Don Fonte said:

Let's go with it.

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Fuck me. Don’t spend all your Christmas money at once. 

[Don Fonte]

2 minutes ago, 1903Fitba said:

Fuck me. Don’t spend all your Christmas money at once. 

Fit like min. Any tips?

[robbojunior]

Blackburn

Carlisle

Stranraer

Villa

Charlton double chance

Fivefold approx 7/1

[Don Fonte]

1 hour ago, rocket_scientist said:

I'm surprised you two did. Yes they are rightly favourites but 2/5? That's a 5/6 or 10/11 shot in my book, still favourites (2/1 being the mathematical possibility) but again low odds being perhaps more influenced by H2H rather than the formbook.

Hope they do as it's the team I support but just don't see four tenths as good value for a team with only one point from the last possible 15. As I wondered a month or so back (something I hadn't noticed previously), the bookies may put more stock on previous meetings than current form. They do make mistakes of course but they're rarely wrong. 

Studes pick, he can pick who he wants. I wouldn't have but let's see what happens.

Not had a huge amount of time to study anything this week so not hugely confident on anything today. But I was hugely confident in my WSG pick and my research on it and they got beat so let's see.

[1903Fitba]

3 hours ago, Don Fonte said:

Fit like min. Any tips?

I was a shot on target from Hernandes away from a few hundred just. 
 

Best of luck don. Nobody deserves it more than you. Xx

[1903Fitba]

https://ibb.co/yVtCT63
 

5er free bet.  Gan then

[The Buzzard]

21 hours ago, Don Fonte said:

Let's go with it.

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Should be collecting on this one now. 

[Don Fonte]

16 minutes ago, The Buzzard said:

Should be collecting on this one now. 

Yep, great shout Buzz. A Standard Liege win guarantees us profit for the day.

And still got a shot in the other double if Shrewsbury get a goal.

[Don Fonte]

2 hours ago, 1903Fitba said:

I was a shot on target from Hernandes away from a few hundred just. 
 

Best of luck don. Nobody deserves it more than you. Xx

Cheers bud. Your support is appreciated.

[Studebaker-90]

Carlisle only coming in because of the early pay out, Shrewsbury a bit of a stinker too. Hopefully Liege save the day later on. 

[Don Fonte]

5 minutes ago, Studebaker-90 said:

Carlisle only coming in because of the early pay out, Shrewsbury a bit of a stinker too. Hopefully Liege save the day later on. 

There's a reason to use bet365. Terrific.

 

[The Buzzard]

7 minutes ago, Studebaker-90 said:

Carlisle only coming in because of the early pay out, Shrewsbury a bit of a stinker too. Hopefully Liege save the day later on. 

Carlisle fucked me. 

[Don Fonte]

10 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said:

You running tomorrow?

Very little on.

[Don Fonte]

11 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said:

On 12/23/2020 at 2:51 PM, Don Fonte said:

3 doubles a week. One Saturday, one Sunday, one midweek. One pick each for them all?

Aye this isn't going to happen. Certainly not til after the festives. 

[Don Fonte]

3 hours ago, Studebaker-90 said:

Carlisle only coming in because of the early pay out, Shrewsbury a bit of a stinker too. Hopefully Liege save the day later on. 

Looking good so far.

[Don Fonte]

If Liege lose like looking likely then the running total is.

Staked so far - £25

Returns - £30.89

Profit - £5.89

@The Buzzard pulls the thread out of a hole today.

[Studebaker-90]

Fuck all on today, reckon we should target Tuesday and Wednesday @Don Fonte

personal punt for today below 

[Don Fonte]

4 minutes ago, Studebaker-90 said:

Fuck all on today, reckon we should target Tuesday and Wednesday @Don Fonte

personal punt for today below 

Tuesday and Wednesday is good for me. Will look this afternoon.

[Don Fonte]

Hearts v Arbroath for Tuesday. Over 2.5 goals - 3/5

[Don Fonte]

Wednesday - Atletico Madrid to beat Getafe - 4/9

[Studebaker-90]

19 hours ago, Don Fonte said:

Wednesday - Atletico Madrid to beat Getafe - 4/9

Beat me to it with this one. Empoli to beat Ascoli at 1/2 on Wednesday. Barcelona tomorrow at home to eibar 1/3

[Don Fonte]

That's our 2 doubles sorted.

[Don Fonte]

4 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said:

Fiver on each?

Correct 

[Don Fonte]

24 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said:

Tell ye Don, I noticed on the other thread that the odds had dropped on some of the acca picks. As you know, I've been emphasising the value of punting early. Here's another example;

 

I put on my punts on Saturday for today and the odds for these three are now 1/2, 9/20 and 2/11. The return I'm getting is 52.9% more than if I placed this bet right now. Something to be aware of. 

Fair point and punting min.

I've been fairly distracted over the festivities. Stand by my picks though.

[Don Fonte]

1 hour ago, rocket_scientist said:

With Raith now down to 2/5, the return for betting early is twice what it is now!

That's pretty nuts.

The double looking like it's struggling tonight. And the hat acca fucked already.

[Don Fonte]

4 minutes ago, rocket_scientist said:

Odds fluctuate a lot. Dundee went from 3/5 to 9/20 to 8/13 before ko I think. 

Saw them at 8/15 just as it started.

Not the easiest picking winners just now.

[Studebaker-90]

What a shit run of results 

[Don Fonte]

Just now, Studebaker-90 said:

What a shit run of results 

Indeed. 

[Don Fonte]

Hearts v Arbroath over 2.5 in within the first half. 3/5 was delicious odds.